Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.004379 0.004607 0.004840 0.005099 0.005377 0.005669 0.005997
2025-11-09 0.004051 0.004393 0.004760 0.005186 0.005667 0.006197 0.006827
2025-11-16 0.003772 0.004173 0.004616 0.005144 0.005761 0.006466 0.007338
2025-11-23 0.003580 0.004023 0.004523 0.005136 0.005872 0.006737 0.007845
2025-11-30 0.003385 0.003852 0.004389 0.005059 0.005884 0.006878 0.008188
2025-12-07 0.003225 0.003710 0.004277 0.004997 0.005901 0.007016 0.008524
2025-12-14 0.003112 0.003616 0.004215 0.004988 0.005977 0.007224 0.008956
2025-12-21 0.002943 0.003446 0.004049 0.004838 0.005864 0.007178 0.009040
2025-12-28 0.002866 0.003385 0.004015 0.004852 0.005957 0.007402 0.009499
2026-01-04 0.002815 0.003353 0.004014 0.004905 0.006102 0.007699 0.010074
2026-01-11 0.002730 0.003274 0.003950 0.004871 0.006126 0.007830 0.010416
2026-01-18 0.002663 0.003214 0.003907 0.004862 0.006182 0.008003 0.010828
2026-01-25 0.002588 0.003144 0.003848 0.004831 0.006207 0.008137 0.011193
2026-02-01 0.002564 0.003138 0.003873 0.004913 0.006394 0.008513 0.011954
2026-02-08 0.002494 0.003069 0.003813 0.004874 0.006404 0.008627 0.012310
2026-02-15 0.002440 0.003020 0.003776 0.004866 0.006459 0.008809 0.012783
2026-02-22 0.002367 0.002942 0.003697 0.004796 0.006416 0.008838 0.013004
2026-03-01 0.002302 0.002874 0.003630 0.004738 0.006389 0.008889 0.013263
2026-03-08 0.002257 0.002832 0.003598 0.004729 0.006436 0.009057 0.013732
2026-03-15 0.002170 0.002730 0.003478 0.004591 0.006278 0.008889 0.013599
2026-03-22 0.002139 0.002703 0.003463 0.004603 0.006352 0.009100 0.014155
2026-03-29 0.002120 0.002694 0.003473 0.004652 0.006485 0.009411 0.014920
2026-04-05 0.002077 0.002649 0.003430 0.004621 0.006489 0.009508 0.015289